HUMPTY DUMPTY IN SABAH.

By : LAWRENCE LEONG

Humpty Dumpty sat on the wall,

Humpty Dumpty had a great fall,

All the King’s horses and all the King’s men,

Cannot put Humpty Dumpty together again.

WHO pushed Humpty Dumpty off the wall? Going by the article written by Luke Rintod in Free Malaysia Today dated 27/09/2012, ’Slighted by Anwar, SAPP Out In The Cold’. Quote: ‘ That decision was made known last month in a meeting at a hotel here when Anwar met Yong and Jeffrey Kitingan, the Sabah Chapter Chairman of Sarawak- based State Reform Party (STAR), end quote. It seems obvious that it was not SAPP and STAR, who turned down the overture to form the Dream Team (PR,STAR,SAPP).

Why did Anwar do what he did, why did he refuse to accommodate DJK and YTL? This is an offer that is almost certain, barring any unforeseen circumstances or Natural Act of God, that will make him the seventh Prime Minister of Malaysia.

Is it because A I’s hands were bound by PKR's Constitution, 18.4, which state that all JKKK, Ketua Kampong and all political posts right straight to the Chief Minister must be appointed by Malaya. (Malaysia Today – 18/09/12) Can PR unseat BN without the co-operation of STAR/SAPP?

It seems that Anwar is placing all his bets on Wilfred Bumburing for the KDM votes and Lajim Okin for the Muslim votes. It does not require a rocket scientist to realise that this move by AI is to dilute the strength of SAPP and STAR, especially the latter, seeing that STAR is working closely with USNO

At this stage of the game, the outcome is stack against PR winning. Going by the analysts, it is still an up hill struggle. To claim victory, a simple majority of 122 seats are are required.

At the time of this survey, PR held 82 seats, a shortage of 40 seats. According to Professor Shaharudin, UTM -Sarawak, an optimistic forecast may see PR win 10 seats in Sarawak maximum and Sabah 5 seats. Professor Associate Dr. Jeniri of UMS, concurred. This leaves a shortfall of 25 seats.

The latest analysis from Arnold Puyok gave 42 safe ADUN seats, out of a total of 60 to BN and 9 MPs seats out of a total of 25 seats, leaving 16 seats. Even if PR wins the 10 seats from Sarawak and all the remaining 16 seats in Sabah, there is still a shortfall of 40 – (10 + 16) = 14 seats. Giving all 16 seats to PR Sabah is really drawing a very long bow, an impossible feat.

Professor Faisal said, PR needs to make a break through in Johore, Malacca, Pahang, Terengganu and Perak. Would it not be easier and more logical to work with STAR/SAPP. Is it too late to return the knives into their respective scabbards? Will the opposition leaders put aside their egos and pride and put Humpty Dumpty back on the wall or will it be a case of the toothless tigers, still thinking that they own the forest?